Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Predictions, Odds & Player Props

Jan 12, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker (9) fouls Portland Trail Blazers guard Anfernee Simons (1) in the third quarter at Target Center. Mandatory Credit: Matt Blewett-USA TODAY SportsThe West-leading Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Portland Trail Blazers on Tuesday nightMinnesota is playing back-to-backs after an impressive win at the LA Clippers on MondaySee the Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers prediction, player props, and odds on Feb. 13

In a tight three-way race for the #1 seed in the Western Conference, the Minnesota Timberwolves (37-16, 18-11 away, 27-24-2 ATS) scored a huge win last night at the LA Clippers (121-100) to retain top spot. Just 24 hours laters, the T-Wolves travel to the Moda Center in Portland for a date with the Trail Blazers (15-37, 9-15 home, 25-27-0 ATS).

Despite playing their second road game in as many days, the T-Wolves are heavy favorites in Tuesday’s NBA odds.

Timberwolves vs Trail Blazers Odds

Minnesota is laying 8.5 and is a short -375 on the moneyline to win straight-up. The Blazers come back as +300 home underdogs. The game total (215) is the lowest of the six games on the NBA’s Tuesday slate. (The next-lowest is Miami vs Milwaukee at 222.5.)

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With yesterday’s win over the Clippers, Minnesota now has a one-game lead over the OKC Thunder and 1.5 over the Clippers at the top of the Western Conference standings in the latest NBA playoff bracket.

Timberwolves Dominate Clippers to Stay Atop West

Minnesota put in one of its best performances of the season last night, handing the LA Clippers just their sixth home loss of the season (121-100) and overcoming a five-point halftime deficit in the process. Karl-Anthony Towns had a game-high 24 points on 8-of-12 shooting while Rudy Gobert was a monster defensively again with 10 rebounds (including five offensive) and four blocks.

Minnesota’s dominant defensive performance against LAC consolidated their lead at the top of the defensive leaderboards. The T-Wolves improved their league-best Defensive Rating to 108.5 and their league-leading points per game to 107.0, which is 2.3 better than the second-best team (Cleveland, 109.3).

Already a three-time winner of the award, Gobert has become a massive -794 favorite in the NBA Defensive Player of the Year odds.

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Blazers Enter Tuesday on Four-Game Losing Streak

In an already bleak season, Portland enters Tuesday amid one of its worst stretches. Portland has lost four games in a row, including a home loss to the league-worst Detroit Pistons, a game in which the Blazers blew a 13-point fourth-quarter lead. That game marked just Detroit’s fourth road win of the season (4-21).

Last time out on Saturday, the shorthanded Blazers – who were missing both leading scorer Anfernee Simons (23.4 PPG, 5.3 APG) and Scoot Henderson (12.8 PPG, 4.6 APG) – didn’t even crack 90 points against the Pelicans (93-84).

Portland is now fifth-last in the NBA in Net Rating (-8.2) and second-last in Offensive Rating (108.8). Only the Ja Morant-less Memphis Grizzlies are worse (107.3).

MIN vs LAC Player Props

Player props from the DraftKings Sportsbook app. 

Minnesota’s leading scorer Anthony Edwards (25.8 PPG) has the highest over/under point total at 25.5, which is almost bang-on his season average. Simons, who is listed as “probable” due to the ankle issue that kept him out Saturday, is tied for the highest among Blazers alongside Jerami Grant (21.5 O/U).

Just as he did last night, Gobert has a rebound total of 12.5 in Tuesday’s NBA player props. He finished last night’s game with 10, largely due to the fact that he only played 33 minutes. (Minnesota was able to empty the bench with a big lead in the fourth quarter.)

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers Prediction

Almost everything points to the T-Wolves here. They own the most road wins in the NBA (18) and are facing a Portland team in disarray. But they have a tendency to play down to their competition. And when their defensive intensity isn’t present, strange outcomes ensue. In the last three weeks alone, Minnesota has lost to Charlotte (128-125 home), San Antonio (113-112 away), and Chicago (129-123 away).

Portland has the talent to beat good teams. The Blazers own wins over Milwaukee (119-116 home), Indiana (118-115 home), Sacramento (130-113 home), Phoenix (109-104 home), and Cleveland (130-95 away). Simons should be back and they’ve had two full days to rest, while Minnesota is coming with tired legs. This is a prime opportunity to bet a big home underdog.

MIN vs POR pick: Trail Blazers moneyline (+300)

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Sascha Paruk’s 2023-24 NBA betting record:

17-17 moneyline (+3.31 units)10-10-2 ATS (-0.59 units)7-12 player props (-5.82 units)0-3 same-game parlay (-3.00 units)

All wagers one unit unless expressly stated otherwise.